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🍾 Champagne Meter

Historical 1988–2024

WC & Euro champions and their champagne score before the tournament

🇪🇸 Spain 1× WC · 3× Euro
🇫🇷 France 2× WC · 1× Euro
🇩🇪 Germany 2× WC · 1× Euro
🇧🇷 Brazil 2× WC
🇮🇹 Italy 1× WC · 1× Euro
🇦🇷 Argentina 1× WC
🇵🇹 Portugal 1× Euro
🇬🇷 Greece 1× Euro
🇩🇰 Denmark 1× Euro
🇳🇱 Netherlands 1× Euro
Predictive 10/19 finals were won by the side with more champagne.
Not enough 9 times the richer champagne side still lost.
Biggest reversal 20 🍾 Portugal had more than Greece (2004).
Richest champion 30 🍾 Netherlands (1988); average winner 10 🍾.
🍾 The Theory in Numbers
10× confirmed 9× wrong
Strongest confirmation Euro 1988 — Netherlands wins with a 30-bottle gap
🇳🇱 30 🍾 vs 🇷🇺 0 🍾

Gullit, Van Basten and Koeman played for champions. The Soviet Union played in Soviet clubs — no Western titles. Final score: 2-0.

Spain pattern Euro 2008, 2012 & 2024 — Spain wins whenever they dominate
🇪🇸 10 / 22 / 21 🍾

Three Euro wins in sixteen years. Always more bottles than the opponent. But in 1998–2002 Spain had more bottles than anyone — and never reached the final.

Biggest upset Euro 2004 — Greece beats Portugal with a 20-bottle gap
🇵🇹 22 🍾 vs 🇬🇷 2 🍾

Ronaldo, Figo, Deco — the most loaded team in the tournament (22 🍾). Greece won with organisation and tactics, not star-club glamour.

Most bottles, no final WC 2010 — Brazil (14 🍾) loses quarter-final to Netherlands
🇧🇷 14 🍾 = 🇳🇱 14 🍾 = 🇩🇪 14 🍾

Brazil (14 🍾) fell in the quarter-final. Netherlands (14 🍾) and Germany (14 🍾) made the semi-finals. Spain won the title with just 8 🍾 — sixth on the bottle table.

The leader almost never wins Most bottles? 17 losses in a row
🇪🇸 25 🍾 1998 🇪🇸 22 🍾 2000 🇪🇸 18 🍾 2002

The nation with the most champagne bottles won only 2 of 19 tournaments (10%). Spain led in 1998, 2000, 2002, 2018 and 2021 — and never won. Brazil entered 2022 with 23 🍾 and fell in the quarter-finals. France had more bottles than Spain in 2024 (22 vs 21) — yet Spain won.

The Dutch curse Top 3 in 8 of 13 tournaments — champion just once
🇳🇱 30 / 19 / 21 / 17 / 18 / 14 🍾

From 1988 to 2012, the Netherlands ranked in the top 3 by champagne bottles in 8 of 13 tournaments. Only the first one (Euro 1988) turned into a title. In 1990, 1992, 1994, 1996, 1998 and 2010: more bottles than the eventual winner — but no championship.

2026 World Cup 🍾 Draw
? 🏆 Champion
beat
? Final
Historical squad data could not be retrieved
2024 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✓
🇪🇸 Spain 🏆 Champion 18 🍾
2-1 beat
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 United Kingdom Final 9 🍾
2022 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✗
🇦🇷 Argentina 🏆 Champion 8 🍾
3-3 n.v. (4-2 p.s.) beat
🇫🇷 France Final 12 🍾
2021 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✓
🇮🇹 Italy 🏆 Champion 12 🍾
1-1 n.v. (3-2 p.s.) beat
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 United Kingdom Final 10 🍾
2018 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✓
🇫🇷 France 🏆 Champion 21 🍾
4-2 beat
🇭🇷 Croatia Final 10 🍾
2016 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✗
🇵🇹 Portugal 🏆 Champion 6 🍾
1-0 n.v. beat
🇫🇷 France Final 12 🍾
2014 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✓
🇩🇪 Germany 🏆 Champion 19 🍾
1-0 n.v. beat
🇦🇷 Argentina Final 12 🍾
2012 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✓
🇪🇸 Spain 🏆 Champion 20 🍾
4-0 beat
🇮🇹 Italy Final 10 🍾
2010 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✗
🇪🇸 Spain 🏆 Champion 8 🍾
1-0 n.v. beat
🇳🇱 Netherlands Final 14 🍾
2008 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✗
🇪🇸 Spain 🏆 Champion 6 🍾
1-0 beat
🇩🇪 Germany Final 8 🍾
2006 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✗
🇮🇹 Italy 🏆 Champion 2 🍾
1-1 n.v. (5-3 p.s.) beat
🇫🇷 France Final 9 🍾
2004 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✗
🇬🇷 Greece 🏆 Champion 2 🍾
1-0 beat
🇵🇹 Portugal Final 22 🍾
2002 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✗
🇧🇷 Brazil 🏆 Champion 4 🍾
2-0 beat
🇩🇪 Germany Final 6 🍾
Historical squad data could not be retrieved
2000 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✓
🇫🇷 France 🏆 Champion 9 🍾
2-1 n.v. beat
🇮🇹 Italy Final 4 🍾
1998 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✓
🇫🇷 France 🏆 Champion 13 🍾
3-0 beat
🇧🇷 Brazil Final 12 🍾
Historical squad data could not be retrieved
1996 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✓
🇩🇪 Germany 🏆 Champion 8 🍾
2-1 n.v. beat
🇨🇿 Czechia Final 3 🍾
1994 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✗
🇧🇷 Brazil 🏆 Champion 4 🍾
0-0 n.v. (3-2 pen.) beat
🇮🇹 Italy Final 24 🍾
Historical squad data could not be retrieved
1992 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✗
🇩🇰 Denmark 🏆 Champion
2-0 beat
🇩🇪 Germany Final 3 🍾
Historical squad data could not be retrieved
1990 World Cup 🍾 Theory ✓
🇩🇪 Germany 🏆 Champion 6 🍾
1-0 beat
🇦🇷 Argentina Final 2 🍾
Historical squad data could not be retrieved
1988 European Championship 🍾 Theory ✓
🇳🇱 Netherlands 🏆 Champion 30 🍾
2-0 beat
🇷🇺 Soviet Union Final
Historical squad data could not be retrieved